基于研制阶段数据融合的舰炮制导弹药测试性评估方法

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2024.08.20

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对小子样条件下开展测试性评估存在数据冲突的问题, 提出一种基于研制阶段数据融合的舰炮制导弹药测试性评估方法。首先, 确定研制阶段中舰炮制导弹药测试性信息的来源, 并根据其不同特点, 利用相应的Beta分布参数折合方法, 获得测试性信息Beta分布并构造对应的基本信任分配函数。其次, 为解决在数据融合中存在的冲突问题, 引入一种基于可信度、不确定度和重要度的数据融合权重确定方法, 通过融合多来源的测试性信息得到舰炮制导弹药测试性指标评估结果。实例表明, 所提方法能充分利用研制阶段收集的多来源测试性信息, 有效利用主观不确定性信息, 且减少数据冲突问题, 可提高舰炮制导弹药测试性指标评估的可靠性。

关键词: 测试性评估, 舰炮制导弹药, 研制阶段, 数据融合

Abstract:

Aiming at the problem of data conflict in the testability evaluation under the condition of small samples, a testability evaluation method of naval gun guided ammunition based on data fusion in the development stage is proposed. Firstly, the source of testability information of naval gun guided ammunition in the development stage is determined, and according to its different characteristics, the Beta distribution parameter conversion method is obtained, and the corresponding basic trust distribution function is constructed by using the corresponding Beta distribution of testability information. Secondly, in order to solve the conflict problem in data fusion, a data fusion weight determination method based on credibility, uncertainty and importance is introduced, and the testability index evaluation results of naval gun guided ammunition are obtained by fusing multi-source testability information. Finally, an example shows that the proposed method can make full use of the multi-source testability information collected in the research and development stage, effectively use the subjective uncertainty information, reduce the data conflict problem, and improve the reliability of the testability index evaluation of naval gun guided ammunition.

Key words: testability evaluation, naval gun guided ammunition, development stage, data fusion

中图分类号:

TJ06
TH707

应文健, 程雨森, 王旋, 孙世岩. 基于研制阶段数据融合的舰炮制导弹药测试性评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2024, 46(8): 2730-2737.

Wenjian YING, Yusen CHENG, Xuan WANG, Shiyan SUN. Testability evaluation method of naval gun guided ammunition based on data fusion in development stage[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2024, 46(8): 2730-2737.

图/表 14

表1

图1

表2

表3

图2

表4

图3

表5

表6

表7

表8

表9

表10

图4

参考文献 19

1	石君友. 测试性设计分析与验证[M]. 北京: 国防工业出版社, 2011.
	SHI J Y . Analysis and verification of testability design[M]. Beijing: National Defense Industry Press, 2011.
2	陈锋, 孙世岩, 严平, 等. 面向任务的舰炮制导弹药测试性指标确定方法[J]. 探测与控制学报, 2018, 40 (1): 105- 110.
	CHEN F , SUN S Y , YAN P , et al. Task oriented method for determining testability index of naval gun guided ammunition[J]. Journal of Detection and Control, 2018, 40 (1): 105- 110.
3	林志文, 贺喆, 杨士元. 基于多信号模型的雷达测试性设计分析[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2009, 31 (11): 2781- 2784.
	LIN Z W , HE Z , YANG S Y . Analysis of radar testability design based on multi signal model[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2009, 31 (11): 2781- 2784.
4	刘晓白, 梁鸿, 王丹. 基于相关性模型的舰船系统测试性建模与分析[J]. 舰船科学技术, 2017, 39 (11): 158- 163. doi: 10.3404/j.issn.1672-7649.2017.11.030
	LIU X B , LIANG H , WANG D . Testability modeling and ana-lysis of ship system based on correlation model[J]. Ship Science and Technology, 2017, 39 (11): 158- 163. doi: 10.3404/j.issn.1672-7649.2017.11.030
5	周平, 刘东风. 基于多信号模型的舰船柴油机测试性研究[J]. 测试技术学报, 2011, 25 (2): 95- 99. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-7449.2011.02.001
	ZHOU P , LIU D F . Research on testability of marine diesel engine based on multi signal model[J]. Journal of Testing Technology, 2011, 25 (2): 95- 99. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-7449.2011.02.001
6	余龙海, 史贤俊. 基于AHP-FCE的导弹装备测试性评估[J]. 测控技术, 2015, 34 (12): 122- 126. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-8829.2015.12.032
	YU L H , SHI X J . Missile equipment testability evaluation based on AHP-FCE[J]. Measurement and Control Technology, 2015, 34 (12): 122- 126. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-8829.2015.12.032
7	常春贺, 曹鹏举, 杨江平, 等. 基于研制阶段试验数据的复杂装备测试性评估[J]. 中国机械工程, 2011, 23 (13): 1577- 1581.
	CHANG C H , CAO P J , YANG J P , et al. Testability evaluation of complex equipment based on test data at the development stage[J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2011, 23 (13): 1577- 1581.
8	梁潜德, 张雷. 基于信息融合的装备测试性评估[J]. 火力与指挥控制, 2018, 43 (3): 177- 180.
	LIANG Q D , ZHANG L . Equipment testability evaluation based on information fusion[J]. Fire Control & Command Control, 2018, 43 (3): 177- 180.
9	邓露, 许爱强, 席靓, 等. 基于多源信息加权融合的研制阶段测试性评估方法[J]. 计算机测量与控制, 2014, 22 (8): 2508- 2511. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-4598.2014.08.052
	DENG L , XU A Q , XI L , et al. Testability evaluation method for development stage based on weighted fusion of multi-source information[J]. Computer Measurement and Control, 2014, 22 (8): 2508- 2511. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-4598.2014.08.052
10	刘磊, 宋家友, 姚淼. 研制阶段测试性验证与评价的动态贝叶斯方法[J]. 计算机工程与设计, 2017, 38 (6): 1516- 1521.
	LIU L , SONG J Y , YAO M . Dynamic Bayesian method for testability verification and evaluation in development stage[J]. Computer Engineering and Design, 2017, 38 (6): 1516- 1521.
11	赵晨旭. 测试性增长试验理论与方法研究[D]. 长沙: 国防科学技术大学, 2016.
	ZHAO C X. Research on the theory and method of testable growth test[D]. Changsha: National University of Defense Technology, 2016.
12	杨刚, 吴旭升, 孙盼, 等. 基于性能的复杂装备现场可更换单元规划[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43 (8): 2174- 2180.
	YANG G , WU X S , SUN P , et al. Performance based field replaceable unit planning for complex equipment[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2021, 43 (8): 2174- 2180.
13	王京, 李天梅, 何华锋, 等. 多源测试性综合评估数据等效折合模型与方法研究[J]. 兵工学报, 2017, 38 (1): 151- 159.
	WANG J , LI T M , HE H F , et al. Research on equivalent conversion model and method of multi-source testable comprehensive evaluation data[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2017, 38 (1): 151- 159.
14	王超. 虚实结合的测试性试验与综合评估技术[D]. 长沙: 国防科学技术大学, 2014.
	WANG C. Testability test and comprehensive evaluation technology based on the combination of deficiency and reality[D]. Changsha: National University of Defense Technology, 2014.
15	王旋, 狄鹏, 尹东亮. 基于Lance距离和信度熵的冲突证据融合方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2022, 44 (2): 592- 602.
	WANG X , DI P , YIN D L . Conflict evidence fusion method based on Lance distance and belief entropy[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2022, 44 (2): 592- 602.
16	FANG Y , JIE C , YI B L . Improvement of DS evidence theory for multi-sensor conflicting information[J]. Symmetry, 2017, 9 (5): 69.
17	DENG Y . Deng entropy: a generalized Shannon entropy to measure uncertainty[J]. Manuscript, 2015, 91, 549- 553.
18	XIAO F Y . Multi-sensor data fusion based on the belief divergence measure of evidences and the belief entropy[J]. Information Fusion, 2019, 46, 23- 32.
19	王旋, 狄鹏. 基于虚实试验数据融合的装备测试性评估方法[J]. 舰船电子工程, 2021, 41 (6): 131- 134.
	WANG X , DI P . Equipment testability evaluation method based on virtual and real test data fusion[J]. Naval Electronic Engineering, 2021, 41 (6): 131- 134.

证据	专家1	专家2	…	专家X
E₁	y₁₁	y₁₂	…	y_1X
E₂	y₂₁	y₂₂	…	y_2X
⋮	⋮	⋮	⋮	⋮
E_N	y_N1	y_N2	…	y_NX

研制阶段测试性信息	Beta分布
专家经验信息	(a_E, b_E)
测试性增长试验数据	(a_I, b_I)
可更换单元试验数据	(a_R, b_R)

mass函数	m(H₁)	m(H₂)	m(H₃)
m_E	m_E(H₁)	m_E(H₂)	m_E(H₃)
m_I	m_I(H₁)	m_I(H₂)	m_I(H₃)
m_R	m_R(H₁)	m_R(H₂)	m_R(H₃)

信任分配	m(H₁)	m(H₂)	m(H₃)
m′_E⊕m′_I	m′_EI(H₁)	m′_EI(H₂)	m′_EI(H₃)
m′_E⊕m′_I⊕m′_R	m′_EIR(H₁)	m′_EIR(H₂)	m′_EIR(H₃)

可更换单元名称i	可更换单元试验数据		可更换单元超参数		故障率λ_i
可更换单元名称i	a_i	b_i	n_i	f_i	故障率λ_i
卫星天线	112	21	10	3	0.030
卫星定位模块	108	13	24	2	0.025
地磁传感器	54	5	30	5	0.010
舵机控制器	49	16	8	3	0.020
舵机驱动器	156	22	26	4	0.015
DSP	167	36	50	8	0.025