无人机集群对地作战任务可靠性评估

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2023.09.38

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对无人机(unmanned aerial vehicle, UAV)集群执行对地攻击任务可靠性评估问题, 考虑实际作战环境和任务规划, 建立了一种适用于具体任务过程的可靠性评估方法。首先, 建立了UAV集群作战的时态异构网络模型, 用时态打击链模拟UAV集群任务规划和协同作战过程。然后, 基于连续时间马尔可夫链(continuous-time Markov chain, CTMC)建立了UAV集群在威胁区域飞行的生存概率模型。进而, 综合UAV集群的作战能力和生存概率, 提出了任务可靠性评估方法。最后, 通过实例分析, 验证了该模型的实用性和合理性。该模型考虑到各方面影响战果的因素, 贴合实际, 为UAV集群任务可靠性评估和决策提供了参考。

关键词: 无人机集群, 对地作战, 任务可靠性, 时态异构作战网络, 马尔可夫生存概率

Abstract:

Aiming at the reliability assessment problem of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) swarm ground attack mission, considering the actual combat environment and mission planning, a reliability evaluation method suitable for specific mission scenarios is established. Firstly, a temporal heterogeneous network model of UAV swarm operation is established, and the mission planning and collaborative operation process of UAV swarm are simulated by temporal strike chain. Then, based on the continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC), a survival probability model of UAV swarm flying in the threat area is established. Furthermore, based on the combat capability and survival probability of UAV swarm, a mission reliability evaluation method is proposed. Finally, through case analysis, the practicability and rationality of the model are verified. The model takes into account the factors affecting the results of the battle is realistic, and provides a reference for UAV swarm mission reliability evaluation and decision-making.

Key words: unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) swarm, ground operations, mission reliability, temporal heterogeneous combat networks, Markov survival probability

中图分类号:

V279

齐小刚, 周雨桐, 刘立芳. 无人机集群对地作战任务可靠性评估[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2023, 45(9): 2971-2978.

Xiaogang QI, Yutong ZHOU, Lifang LIU. Evaluation of the reliability of UAV swarm for ground combat missions[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2023, 45(9): 2971-2978.

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链路类型	含义
T→S	侦察UAV对目标实施侦察或情报搜集
S→S	侦察UAV之间进行情报信息共享
S→D	侦察UAV将探测的信息上传到决策UAV
D→D	决策UAV通过信息交流进行信息共享
D→I	决策UAV向打击UAV发送打击指令
I→T	打击UAV对目标实施打击行动

目标	总编队数量
目标	2	3	4	5
T₁	1	2	2	3
T₂	1	1	2	2
T₃	1	1	2	2
T₄	1	2	2	3
T₅	1	2	2	3

装备	参数	取值
雷达区域	目标RCS σ₀/m²	5
	目标探测距离R₀/km	20
	目标探测概率P_d0	0.9
	探测虚警概率P_fa0	10^-6
	恒虚警处理参考单元数N	16
	搜索循环时间t_s/s	5
	预计形成追踪时间τ₂₃/s	10
	失去追踪时间τ₃₂/s	5
	遗忘时间τ₂₁/s	10
火力区域	最大射程R_h/km	10
	武器准备时间τ₃₄/s	5
	单发毁伤概率P_h	0.6
	发射间隔时间t_h/s	5
UAV	巡航速度/(km/s)	0.2
	巡航高度/km	9
	平均RCS σ_a/m²	1
	单机侦察能力p^s	0.1
	单机决策能力p^d	0.3
	单机打击能力p^I	0.2

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