复杂工程体系适应性机制构建与评价方法

doi:10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2023.08.05

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

针对工程系统体系化、无人化与智能化发展趋势带来的复杂性的增加与难以预测的功能涌现，以及传统的以可靠性为中心的六性指标难以完全适用且缺少体系层面综合性评价指标的问题，借鉴自然界通过适应性应对不确定性的策略，在分析了自然有机系统适应性基本特征的基础上，提出一种包含微观、中观与宏观三个层次的基于规则的复杂工程系统适应性构建框架，并基于该框架对适应性指标的定性与定量评价方法进行了探讨。为指导复杂工程系统的设计与评价提供了方法参考。

关键词: 复杂工程体系, 适应性, 涌现, 规则, 可靠性

Abstract:

In response to the increasing complexity and unpredictable functional emergence brought about by the trend of engineering system systematization, unmanned and intelligent development, as well as the problem of traditional reliability centered six performance indicators that are difficult to fully apply and lack comprehensive evaluation indicators at the system level, drawing on the strategy of adapting to uncertainty in the natural world, and analyzing the basic characteristics of adaptability in natural organic systems, a rule-based adaptive construction framework for complex engineering systems is proposed, which includes three levels, micro, meso, and macro. Based on this framework, qualitative and quantitative evaluation methods for adaptive indicators are explored. This provides a methodological reference for guiding the design and evaluation of complex engineering systems.

Key words: complex engineering system-of-systems (SoS), adaptability, emergence, rule, reliability

中图分类号:

TP399

张宏军, 黄百乔, 白天. 复杂工程体系适应性机制构建与评价方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2023, 45(8): 2325-2331.

Hongjun ZHANG, Baiqiao HUANG, Tian BAI. Adaptive mechanism construction and evaluation method of complex engineering SoS[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2023, 45(8): 2325-2331.

图/表 3

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层次	等级	定义
干预性适应性	AL-1	具有一定感知能力
	AL-2	具有实时故障诊断能力
	AL-3	具有健康管理与一定的预警能力
	AL-4	在组成、结构、功能与流程上具有可重构能力
半自主适应性	AL-5	具有面向任务的自主协调各个成员能力
	AL-6	面向任务与环境, 在人的干预下可自主实施作业重规划
	AL-7	面向任务与环境, 在人的干预下工程系统可自主实施战略重规划
全自主适应性	AL-8	具有积累自身运行数据, 并分析现有运行策略瓶颈的能力
	AL-9	具有积累自身运行数据, 优化运行规则, 并执行的能力
	AL-10	具有完整的自我感知、恢复、学习、进化的能力

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