系统工程与电子技术 ›› 2021, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (9): 2373-2382.doi: 10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2021.09.01
• 电子技术 • 下一篇
赵禄达*, 王斌
收稿日期:
2020-09-14
出版日期:
2021-08-20
发布日期:
2021-08-26
通讯作者:
赵禄达
作者简介:
赵禄达(1992—), 男, 硕士研究生, 主要研究方向为军事运筹、电子对抗建模仿真、电子对抗效能评估|王斌(1977—), 男, 副教授, 硕士研究生导师, 博士, 主要研究方向为作战运筹、效能评估、建模与仿真等
基金资助:
Luda ZHAO*, Bin WANG
Received:
2020-09-14
Online:
2021-08-20
Published:
2021-08-26
Contact:
Luda ZHAO
摘要:
由于电子对抗作战目标类型和工作方式多样, 变化速度快, 有效信息难以充分获得, 且在不同作战阶段呈现出不同特点, 使用传统评估方法难以对其等级排序实施精确评估。对此, 提出一种基于随机集的动态贝叶斯网络电子对抗目标等级评估方法。首先,对电子对抗作战目标清单生成方式进行梳理, 确定了评价指标体系, 并根据作战阶段的变化特点,结合动态贝叶斯网络完善了评价体系。然后, 充分考虑作战过程中数据获取不完整的特点, 通过引入随机集方法将传统贝叶斯网络的节点参数求解方法进行拓展, 使用区间数学的思想得到了较为准确的动态贝叶斯网络节点参数。最后,进行了案例仿真计算和结果分析, 并对节点概率确定方法进行算法复杂度讨论。结果表明,所提方法更加适合样本不完整的军事评估问题, 评估结果与实际作战基本一致, 使用的算法具有高效性、适用性和推广性。
中图分类号:
赵禄达, 王斌. 基于RS-DBN的电子对抗目标清单生成方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(9): 2373-2382.
Luda ZHAO, Bin WANG. Method of electronic countermeasure targets' list generation based on RS-DBN[J]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2021, 43(9): 2373-2382.
表1
DBN节点状态空间"
节点 | 状态空间 | 状态字母代号 |
目标等级 | {一级, 二级, 三级} | {One, Two, Three} |
RIS | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
VAL | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
DEF | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
JAM | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
INF | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
ENV | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
UNF | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
GRA | {一级, 二级, 三级} | {One, Two, Three} |
MIN | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
ADD | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
THR | {高, 中, 低} | {High, Middle, Low} |
表4
节点条件概率"
value | P(UNF | value) | P(GRA | value) | P(MIN | value) | P(THR | value) | ||||||||||||
high | middle | low | One | Two | Three | high | middle | low | high | middle | low | |||||
high | 66.56 | 24.56 | 8.88 | 60 | 20 | 20 | 60 | 30 | 10 | 61.25 | 22.43 | 16.32 | ||||
middle | 45.457 | 45.567 | 8.976 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 18.88 | 29.56 | 51.56 | ||||
low | 53.45 | 23.45 | 23.1 | 40 | 22 | 38 | 40 | 20 | 40 | 23.67 | 22.18 | 54.15 |
表5
ξJAM, ξENV的区间概率赋值表"
划分区间 | [0, 0.1) | [0.1, 0.2) | [0.2, 0.3) | [0.3, 0.4) | [0.4, 0.5) | [0.5, 0.6) | [0.6, 0.7) | [0.7, 0.8) | [0.8, 0.9) | [0.9, 1.0] |
ξJAM | 0.004 18 | 0.003 26 | 0.002 29 | 0.001 31 | 0.000 30 | 0.000 71 | 0.001 71 | 0.002 68 | 0.003 63 | 0.004 54 |
ξENV | 0.134 92 | 0.116 71 | 0.100 97 | 0.087 34 | 0.075 56 | 0.065 37 | 0.056 55 | 0.048 92 | 0.042 32 | 0.036 61 |
1 | 刘庆国. 电子对抗作战指挥系统研究[M]. 北京: 国防大学出版社, 2011. |
LIU Q G . Research on electronic countermeasures operational command system[M]. Beijing: National Defense University Press, 2011. | |
2 | 奚之飞, 徐安, 寇英信, 等. 基于灰主成分的空战目标威胁评估[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43 (1): 147- 155. |
XI Z F , XU A , KOU Y X , et al. Air combat target threat assessment based on gray principal component[J]. System Engineering and Electronic Technology, 2021, 43 (1): 147- 155. | |
3 | ZHANG K, LIU P P, LI K, et al. Multi-target threat assessment in air combat based on AHP and FVIKOR[C]//Proc. of the IEEE International Conference on Unmanned Systems, 2017. |
4 | 奚之飞, 徐安, 寇英信, 等. 基于前景理论的空战目标威胁评估[J]. 兵工学报, 2020, 41 (6): 1236- 1248. |
XI Z F , XU A , KOU Y X , et al. Threat evaluation of air combat targets based on prospect theory[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2020, 41 (6): 1236- 1248. | |
5 | XU X M, YANG R N, YANG Y. Threat assessment in air combat based on elm neural network[C]//Proc. of the IEEE International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computer Applications, 2019. |
6 | ZHANG S L, ZHANG T, XU X M. Threat estimation of aerial target based on extreme learning machine[C]//Proc. of the Chinese Control Conference, 2019. |
7 | 张永利, 潘哲, 刘楠楠. 基于离散Hopfield神经网络的辐射源目标威胁估计[J]. 指挥信息系统与技术, 2020, 11 (2): 39- 43, 48. |
ZHANG Y L , PAN Z , LIU N N . The threat estimation of radiation source target based on discrete Hopfield neural network[J]. Command Information System and Technology, 2020, 11 (2): 39- 43, 48. | |
8 |
SUN H W , XIE X F . Threat evaluation method of warships formation air defense based on AR(p)-DITOPSIS[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2019, 30 (2): 297- 307.
doi: 10.21629/JSEE.2019.02.09 |
9 |
侯思尧, 李永光, 陈思静, 等. 利用主客观集成赋权法的多目标威胁评估[J]. 电讯技术, 2019, 59 (8): 956- 961.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-893x.2019.08.016 |
HOU S Y , LI Y G , CHEN S J , et al. Multi-target threat assessment using subjective and objective integrated weightingmethod[J]. Telecommunication Technology, 2019, 59 (8): 956- 961.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-893x.2019.08.016 |
|
10 |
FENG J F , ZHANG Q , HU J H , et al. Dynamic assessment method of air target threat based on improved GIFSS[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2019, 30 (3): 525- 534.
doi: 10.21629/JSEE.2019.03.10 |
11 |
刘昊, 邢岩, 吴世杰. 基于体系破击的联合火力打击目标价值评估[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2020, 42 (12): 2802- 2810.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2020.12.17 |
LIU H , XING Y , WU S J . Value evaluation of joint fire strike target based on system destruction[J]. System Engineering and Electronics, 2020, 42 (12): 2802- 2810.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-506X.2020.12.17 |
|
12 | 汪鑫, 龙光正, 汪志宏, 等. 基于灰色聚类和序关系的防空保卫目标排序研究[J]. 弹箭与制导学报, 2018, 38 (2): 25- 29. |
WANG X , LONG G Z , WANG Z H , et al. Research on air defense target sequencing based on grey clustering and order relation[J]. Journal of Projectiles and Guidance, 2018, 38 (2): 25- 29. | |
13 | 孙海文, 谢晓方, 孙涛, 等. 小样本数据缺失状态下DBN舰艇编队防空目标威胁评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2019, 41 (6): 1300- 1308. |
SUN H W , XIE X F , SUN T , et al. The threat assessment method of DBN fleet air defense targets under the state of small sample data missing[J]. System Engineering and Electronics, 2019, 41 (6): 1300- 1308. | |
14 | WANG X , ZUO J Z , YANG R N , et al. Target threat assessment based on dynamic bayesian network[J]. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2019, 1302 (4): 042023. |
15 |
MA S D , ZHANG H Z , YANG G Q . Target threat level assessment based on cloud model under fuzzy and uncertain conditions in air combat simulation[J]. Aerospace Science and Technology, 2017, 67, 49- 53.
doi: 10.1016/j.ast.2017.03.033 |
16 |
陈怀进, 刘雅奇, 和伟, 等. 基于DBN的雷达干扰目标选择方法[J]. 现代雷达, 2014, 36 (9): 6- 10.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-7859.2014.09.002 |
CHEN H J , LIU Y Q , HE W , et al. The method of radar jamming target selection based on DBN[J]. Modern Radar, 2014, 36 (9): 6- 10.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-7859.2014.09.002 |
|
17 | MENG G L, ZHOU M Z, ZHANG H M, et al. Threat assessment for rotte based on cooperative tactical recognition[C]//Proc. of the IEEE International Conferences on Ubiquitous Computing & Communications and Data Science and Computational Intelligence and Smart Computing, Networking and Services, 2019. |
18 | XU Y H, CHENG S Y, ZHANG H B, et al. Air target combat intention identification based on IE-DSBN[C]//Proc. of the International Workshop on Electronic Communication and Artificial Intelligence, 2020. |
19 | 全军军事委员会. 中国人民解放军军语[M]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2011. |
Military Committee of the Army . Military Language of the Chinese People's Liberation Army[M]. Beijing: Military Science Press, 2011. | |
20 |
张明双, 徐克虎, 李灵之. 合成旅目标威胁评估指标体系[J]. 火力与指挥控制, 2019, 44 (12): 108- 113.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2019.12.022 |
ZHANG M S , XU K H , LI L Z . Synthetic brigade target threat assessment index system[J]. Fire Power & Command Control, 2019, 44 (12): 108- 113.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2019.12.022 |
|
21 | DZIADOSZ A, BANACH D, MESZEK W, et al. Impact of the adopted strategy on the result of multi-criteria analysis of technology solution based on AHP (BOCR)[C]//Proc. of the MATEC Web of Conferences, 2018. |
22 | 李世楷. 随机集与集值鞅[M]. 贵阳: 贵州科技出版社, 1994. |
LI S K . Random set and set-valued martingale[M]. Guiyang: Guizhou Science and Technology Press, 1994. | |
23 | DUBOIS D , HENRI P . A set-theoretic view of belief functions[J]. Classic Works of the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Belief Functions, 2008, 12, 375- 410. |
24 |
WANG L , WANG X S , YU J Z . Quasi-shadowing property on random partially hyperbolic sets[J]. Acta Mathematica Sinica, 2018, 34 (9): 1429- 1444.
doi: 10.1007/s10114-018-7314-4 |
25 | YANG J B , XU D L . Evidential reasoning rule for evidence combination[J]. Artificial Intelligence, 2013, 20 (5): 1- 29. |
26 | DU Y W , WANG Y M , QIN M . New evidential reasoning rule with both weight and reliability for evidence combination[J]. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 2018, 124, 493- 508. |
27 | GOODMAN I R , MAHLER R P , NGUYEN H T . Mathema-tics of data fusion[M]. Berlin: Springer Netherlands, 1997. |
28 | 邵国培, 曹志耀, 何俊. 电子对抗作战效能分析原理[M]. 北京: 军事科学出版社, 2013. |
SHAO G P , CAO Z Y , HE J . Principles of effectiveness analysis of electronic countermeasures[M]. Beijing: Military Science Press, 2013. | |
29 | 冯泽彪, 汪建均, 马义中. 基于多变量高斯过程模型的贝叶斯建模与稳健参数设计[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2020, 40 (3): 703- 713. |
FENG Z B , WANG J J , MA Y Z . Bayesian modeling and robust parameter design based on multivariable Gaussian process model[J]. System Engineering Theory and Practice, 2020, 40 (3): 703- 713. | |
30 |
AKINORI H , KENJI W , TAKIO K . Sparse discriminant analysis based on estimation of posterior probabilities[J]. Journal of Applied Statistics, 2019, 46 (15): 2761- 2785.
doi: 10.1080/02664763.2019.1613348 |
31 | SPRENT P , SMEETON N C . Applied nonparametric statistical methods[M]. Boca Raton: CRC press, 2016. |
[1] | 杨康, 郝汀, 赵明峰, 黄伟. 双模式侦察干扰一体化技术[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2022, 44(12): 3614-3620. |
[2] | 赵禄达, 王斌, 曾威. 进攻战斗电子对抗兵力需求的三层规划模型[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2021, 43(6): 1564-1571. |
[3] | 孟光磊, 周铭哲, 朴海音, 张慧敏. 基于协同战术识别的双机编队威胁评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2020, 42(10): 2285-2293. |
[4] | 孙海文, 谢晓方, 孙涛, 张龙杰. 小样本数据缺失状态下DBN舰艇编队防空目标威胁评估方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2019, 41(6): 1300-1308. |
[5] | 张翔, 李革, 王鹏. 基于动态数据驱动的反潜战仿真系统目标探测设计[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2018, 40(11): 2591-. |
[6] | 高晓光, 李青原, 邸若海. 基于DBN威胁评估的MPC无人机三维动态路径规划[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2014, 36(11): 2199-2205. |
[7] | 葛顺,夏学知. 用于战术意图识别的动态序列贝叶斯网络[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2014, 36(1): 76-83. |
[8] | 胡云安,刘振,史建国. 态势评估的变结构区间概率动态贝叶斯网络方法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2013, 35(9): 1891-1897. |
[9] | 李程,王伟,王雪松. 基于盒差分滤波器的脉冲检测算法[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2013, 35(8): 1615-1619. |
[10] | 欧阳成, 华云, 高尚伟. 改进的自适应新生目标强度PHD滤波[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2013, 35(12): 2452-2458. |
[11] | 欧阳成1,2,华 云1,高尚伟1. 改进的多贝努利滤波检测前跟踪算法[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2013, 35(11): 2244-2250. |
[12] | 任佳, 高晓光, 白勇. 信息不完备小样本条件下离散DBN参数学习[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2012, 34(8): 1723-1728. |
[13] | 郭文强, 高晓光, 任佳. 分段平稳变结构DBN模型区域内的结构学习[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2012, 34(4): 704-708. |
[14] | 宋志勇, 肖怀铁, 祝依龙, 卢再奇. 末制导雷达目标与诱饵的联合参数估计和辨识[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2012, 34(4): 644-651. |
[15] | 杨伟宏,陈永光,王涛. 对波形捷变SAR的间歇采样快/慢时间调制干扰[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2012, 34(12): 2456-2462. |
阅读次数 | ||||||
全文 |
|
|||||
摘要 |
|
|||||