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Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2022, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 393-405.doi: 10.23919/JSEE.2022.000041

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  • 收稿日期:2020-12-21 接受日期:2022-03-17 出版日期:2022-04-18 发布日期:2022-05-06

Damage effectiveness assessment method for anti-ship missiles based on double hierarchy linguistic term sets and evidence theory

Tianle YAO1,*(), Weili WANG1(), Run MIAO1(), Jun DONG2(), Xuefei YAN3()   

  1. 1 Ordnance Engineering College, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430000, China
    2 Xi’an Modern Chemistry Research Institute, Xi’an 710065
    3 Institute of Systems Engineering, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100082
  • Received:2020-12-21 Accepted:2022-03-17 Online:2022-04-18 Published:2022-05-06
  • Contact: Tianle YAO E-mail:18931970836@163.com;w.l.wang@tom.com;miaorun1769@163.com;94180853@qq.com;jasonyan9023@163.com
  • About author:YAO Tianle was born in 1994. He received his M.S. degree from Amy Engineering University, China. He is currently a doctoral candidate in Naval University of Engineering. His research interests include weapon system of systems and damage effectiveness assessment.E-mail: 18931970836@163.com
    WANG Weili was born in 1962. He is currently a professor in Naval University of Engineering. His research interests include warhead design of missile and damage effectiveness assessment.E-mail: w.l.wang@tom.com
    MIAO Run was born in 1989. He received his M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from Naval Aeronautical University, China. His research interests include damage effectiveness assessment and explosion test.E-mail: miaorun1769@163.com
    DONG Jun was born in 1982. He received his M.S. degree from Xi’an Modern Chemistry Institute, China. He is currently a doctoral candidate in Naval University of Engineering. His research interests include explosive manufacture.E-mail: 94180853@qq.com
    YAN Xuefei was born in 1989. He received his M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from Ordnance Engineering College, China. He is currently a researcher in Academy of Military Science. His research interests include damage effectiveness assessment and warhead power assessment.E-mail: jasonyan9023@163.com

Abstract:

The research on the damage effectiveness assessment of anti-ship missiles involves system science and weapon science, and has essential strategic research significance. With comprehensive analysis of the specific process of the damage assessment process of anti-missile against ships, a synthetic damage effectiveness assessment process is proposed based on the double hierarchy linguistic term set and the evidence theory. In order to improve the accuracy of the expert’s assessment information, double hierarchy linguistic terms are used to describe the assessment opinions of experts. In order to avoid the loss of experts’ original information caused by information fusion rules, the evidence theory is used to fuse the assessment information of various experts on each case. Good stability of the assessment process can be reflected through sensitivity analysis, and the fluctuation of a certain parameter does not have an excessive influence on the assessment results. The assessment process is accurate enough to be reflected through comparative analysis and it has a good advantage in damage effectiveness assessment.

Key words: anti-ship missile, damage effect assessment, linguistic term set, evidence reasoning